European stocks rise on tech ahead of ECB meeting    Thursday opens with EGP stable against USD    Oil up on Thursday    Acceleration needed in global energy transition – experts    Sri Lanka grants Starlink preliminary approval for internet services    Colombia likely to cut coal sales to Israel amid ongoing war on Gaza    HDB included in Brand Finance's top 200 brands in Africa for 2024    MSMEDA aims to integrate environmental dimensions in SMEs to align with national green economy initiatives    China-Egypt relationship remains strong, enduring: Chinese ambassador    Egypt, Namibia foster health sector cooperation    Palestinian resistance movements to respond positively to any ceasefire agreement in Gaza: Haniyeh    Egypt's Al-Mashat, KEXIM Bank discuss joint projects at Korea-Africa Summit    Egypt's EDA, Zambia sign collaboration pact    Managing mental health should be about more than mind    Egypt, Africa CDC discuss cooperation in health sector    Sudanese Army, RSF militia clash in El Fasher, 85 civilians killed    Madinaty Sports Club hosts successful 4th Qadya MMA Championship    Amwal Al Ghad Awards 2024 announces Entrepreneurs of the Year    Egyptian President asks Madbouly to form new government, outlines priorities    Egypt's President assigns Madbouly to form new government    Egypt and Tanzania discuss water cooperation    Grand Egyptian Museum opening: Madbouly reviews final preparations    Madinaty's inaugural Skydiving event boosts sports tourism appeal    Tunisia's President Saied reshuffles cabinet amidst political tension    US Embassy in Cairo brings world-famous Harlem Globetrotters to Egypt    Instagram Celebrates African Women in 'Made by Africa, Loved by the World' 2024 Campaign    Egypt to build 58 hospitals by '25    Madinaty to host "Fly Over Madinaty" skydiving event    Swiss freeze on Russian assets dwindles to $6.36b in '23    Egyptian public, private sectors off on Apr 25 marking Sinai Liberation    Debt swaps could unlock $100b for climate action    Financial literacy becomes extremely important – EGX official    Euro area annual inflation up to 2.9% – Eurostat    BYD، Brazil's Sigma Lithium JV likely    UNESCO celebrates World Arabic Language Day    Motaz Azaiza mural in Manchester tribute to Palestinian journalists    Russia says it's in sync with US, China, Pakistan on Taliban    It's a bit frustrating to draw at home: Real Madrid keeper after Villarreal game    Shoukry reviews with Guterres Egypt's efforts to achieve SDGs, promote human rights    Sudan says countries must cooperate on vaccines    Johnson & Johnson: Second shot boosts antibodies and protection against COVID-19    Egypt to tax bloggers, YouTubers    Egypt's FM asserts importance of stability in Libya, holding elections as scheduled    We mustn't lose touch: Muller after Bayern win in Bundesliga    Egypt records 36 new deaths from Covid-19, highest since mid June    Egypt sells $3 bln US-dollar dominated eurobonds    Gamal Hanafy's ceramic exhibition at Gezira Arts Centre is a must go    Italian Institute Director Davide Scalmani presents activities of the Cairo Institute for ITALIANA.IT platform    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



Who's threatening whom?
Published in Al-Ahram Weekly on 19 - 06 - 2008

As Iran seems reluctant to freeze its nuclear activities in return for technological and economic incentives, Western powers are preparing a fourth round of sanctions. Rasha Saad reviews the latest developments
In an initial response to the European Union package of incentives, Iran said on Tuesday it would continue enriching uranium. The Iranian reaction defies attempts by major powers to pressure Tehran into stopping work which the West alleges could lead to building a nuclear bomb.
"We have repeatedly said that enrichment is our red line and we should enjoy this technology. The work will be continued," Deputy Foreign Minister Alireza Sheikhattar told reporters on Tuesday.
The EU's top diplomat, Javier Solana, presented Tehran on Saturday with a package of economic benefits designed to persuade it to curb its nuclear work, and said Iran should stop enrichment during negotiations on the offer.
According to reports, the deal offers talks on a package of technological and economic incentives, so long as Tehran suspends uranium enrichment activities, which the West fears the Islamic republic might use to make an atomic bomb.
It recognises Iran's "right to develop research, production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes" and offers support for the construction of light water reactors, help with supplying nuclear fuel and the normalisation of economic ties with the West.
The incentive package agreed by the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany last month and delivered by Solana is a revised version of one rejected by Iran in 2006.
Western powers have already warned Iran it will face more sanctions if it rejects the offer. Iran, however, has shown no sign it will change its position, and suggested it was in no hurry to respond to the incentives package, saying it is reviewing the offers.
"We will give our answer as soon as possible. But we do not know exactly when it will be," said Sheikhattar.
In fact, Iran is conditioning its response to the EU's package to how the West has responded to Tehran's own package. According to reports Solana heard this response in Tehran during his meetings last week from both Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and top nuclear envoy Said Jalili.
Iran last month launched a package which it described as an all-embracing attempt to solve the problems of the world, including the nuclear crisis. It suggests setting up consortiums to enrich uranium, including in Iran.
Tehran, as a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty, insists it has every right to enrich uranium to manufacture fuel for future power plants and the UN Security Council has slapped three sets of sanctions on Tehran for its defiance.
However Western powers are preparing yet another set of sanctions against Iran. British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said on Monday Europe would enact further sanctions against Iran.
Trying to water down the Western threats, Solana said after a meeting of European Union foreign ministers in Luxembourg on Monday the EU had yet to decide on a new round of sanctions.
Washington's European allies have been far more cautious on punishing Iran because of deep business and energy ties. But the planned oil and gas sanctions -- which are not yet final -- would strike directly at Iran's economic base and its plans to expand petroleum exports to Europe at a time of record-high prices.
Brown warned that European nations will start the process of oil and gas sanctions if Iran continues to refuse to halt enriching uranium. "Action will start today in a new phase of sanctions on oil and gas," he said.
But the scope of the expected EU sanctions is still unclear. European diplomats say some divisions remained among the 27-nation bloc about how vigorously to move against Iran's energy sectors. One concern is pushing oil prices even higher. Phil Flynn, analyst at Alaron Trading Corporation in Chicago, said sanctions could definitely push prices higher due to worries that Iran could retaliate by pulling oil off world markets or attempting to choke off the Strait of Hormuz. "The market gets nervous. They get worried about how Iran's going to respond," he said.
Brown also said Britain will freeze the overseas assets of Iran's biggest bank, Bank Melli-- a separate and largely symbolic clampdown on the MidEast nation. He said that the EU would join in the freeze. In a pre-emptive move, Iran has reportedly withdrawn around $75 billion from Europe to prevent the assets from being blocked under the Western threats, an Iranian weekly stated. "Part of Iran's assets in European banks have been converted to gold and shares and another part has been transferred to Asian banks," said Mohsen Talaie, deputy foreign minister in charge of economic affairs.
But aiming at Iran's vast oil and gas industries would be a much more significant blow than the banking sanctions. Iran's stumbling economy -- burdened by chronic inflation and unemployment -- desperately needs the foreign currency from its fuel exports, which are still weighted towards Western markets despite efforts to cater to growing Asian demand.
At the same time, Iran relies on foreign investment and technology in its oil and gas fields. More than 80 per cent of Iran's revenues come from oil exports, and the country has the world's second largest gas reserves.
"The sanctions are going to exact a lot of pressure and cost in Iran, but I'm not sure at this point that they will give up uranium enrichment," said Mehrzad Bouroujerdi, an Iranian affairs expert at Syracuse University.
While Europe has moved to reduce its trade ties with Iran, Tehran remains a key trading partner. Germany alone did business worth about $5 billion last year and more than 1,000 firms are selling their products or services to Iran, some with government subsidies.
Additionally, Europe's dependence on outside energy makes any attempt to strike hard at Iran's energy sector problematic. Europe is one of Iran's main export markets for crude oil, with firms such as TotalFinaElf, ENI and Statoil competing for development rights in Iranian oil fields.
Ironically European nations are also trying to build a pipeline from the Caspian region to the EU as a way to reduce European dependence on Russian natural gas. They should decide who is the biggest threat first.


Clic here to read the story from its source.